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	<title>Behind The Spread &#187; Swing Trader</title>
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	<description>Real Investors Behind The Bid and Ask</description>
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		<title>Dan Carroll: BTS Meets the Founder of kaChing, Face to Face</title>
		<link>http://www.behindthespread.com/dan-carroll/</link>
		<comments>http://www.behindthespread.com/dan-carroll/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 02 Aug 2009 07:27:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>BTS</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Long-Term]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dan Carroll]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Swing Trader]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.behindthespread.com/?p=135</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Over the past weekend, I had the chance to meet up with Dan Carroll, the Founder of kaChing.com, over a cup of coffee in San Francisco. It was a pleasant two hours of my weekend, not to mention good coffee. Never heard of kaChing? Well you will soon…because kaChing is a revolutionary, SEC approved financial [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Over the past weekend, I had the chance to meet up with Dan Carroll, the Founder of kaChing.com, over a cup of coffee in San Francisco. It was a pleasant two hours of my weekend, not to mention good coffee.</p>
<p>Never heard of kaChing? Well you will soon…because kaChing is a revolutionary, SEC approved financial site that aims to “rock the investing world”.</p>
<p><img title="Kaching" src="http://www.my10000dollars.com/investing site-kaching.jpg" alt="" width="451" height="374" /></p>
<p>Instead of buying a mutual fund, what if you could mirror the best investors directly in your brokerage account? kaChing, a Silicon Valley startup, is setting out to let you do just that. The company is on the lookout for the world’s best investors and nearly 400,000 have already signed up. In fact, 1,500 diversified portfolios on kaChing had positive returns in 2008, compared to only one (no, seriously) mutual fund. kaChing lets you follow its best investors in real time, for free, and will roll out the brokerage mirroring service later this year. (Email advance_notice at kaChing.com to know when it’s available)</p>
<p>To further improve on mutual funds (who give you only past returns to evaluate them by) kaChing has just released a metric they call <strong>Investing IQ</strong>. Modeled after the way Ivy League endowments evaluate investment managers, kaChing’s Investing IQ comprises three things: risk adjusted returns, the quality of the investor’s research, and “Sticks to Strategy” – making sure the investor makes money by following his/her strategy and not by luck. The total score ranges from 0 to 100, and investors who score the highest will be eligible to earn fees from those who mirror them in their brokerage accounts.</p>
<p>I immediately noticed when Dan walked in the coffee shop recognizing the profile pictures I dug up online. What impressed me the most is not the fact that he is a 27 year old Founder of a hot, buzzworthy company, or his taste in clothing (rather preppy), or his generosity to buy me coffee, but was the amount of knowledge he had amassed over the course of his trading career, which started at age…what? 12?</p>
<p>Today I share my experience interviewing Dan at the local coffee shop. He is an outstanding investor himself (check out his portfolio), so enjoy the story.</p>
<p><strong>What is your background? How long have you been trading? </strong></p>
<blockquote><p>“I have been trading since I was….like 12. I started with around $10,000 and it had grown considerably by the time I was in college, which I ended up using to pay my way through college.”</p></blockquote>
<p>After graduation, he’s held several roles including working as a fixed income trader and for a financial software firm. He then started FSX (now KaChing) on Facebook back in 2007, which leads him to where he is today.</p>
<p><strong>What is your investment strategy? What about that particular strategy that you like about?</strong></p>
<blockquote><p>“I am a macro investor. I like to take the top down approach, looking at the overall macro picture with regards to interest rates, currency movements, growth rates, and inflation. I then dig deeper to particular sectors and companies, looking at the balance sheets and the fundamentals.”</p></blockquote>
<p>After listening to Dan’s intense explanation of his trading strategy, I started recognizing how he thoroughly understands the different economic variables that impact each other and their interrelationships. This guy is no schmuck. He gets the system, and he is the most followed investor on kaChing for a reason. Well…ok I admit. Part of it is definitely the fact that he <strong>owns</strong> the site lol.</p>
<p><strong>So where do I start if I wanted to start learning what you know and become a macro investor?</strong></p>
<blockquote><p>“Well…[hesitates] I don’t think this strategy is for everyone. In order for you to be successful doing what I do, it really requires a thorough understanding of pretty much everything, from currencies to bond markets to the international markets. For the averages investors, it will be too overwhelming initially trying to grasp the interconnection of the market driving variables.”</p></blockquote>
<p><strong>What do you think of day trading and short-term trading?</strong></p>
<blockquote><p>“Do I think there are investors who make money looking at the technicals? Sure”</p></blockquote>
<p>But Dan believes in understanding the fundamentals, and good research comes with good fundamental analysis.</p>
<p><strong>Do you believe that average Joe Schmoe can be a successful investor? Is it required to get formal education &amp; certification to become a successful trader? </strong></p>
<blockquote><p>“Yea definitely. I mean, certifications? [shrugs] I don’t have any, but I consider myself a good investor&#8230;and school education…while is undoubtedly valuable, you retain about 10% of it, so the true learning comes from actually getting involved and learning from your experience. With that said, I read everything and anything I get my hands on. I am always searching for my edge. ”</p></blockquote>
<p>This is definitely an encouraging message for the new investors. I, myself, am a believer that you don&#8217;t have to have a financial background to be a great investor. I recently read an interview at WallStCheatSheet with Barry Ritholtz, in which Barry talks about his law degree. Look at Barry now, he&#8217;s quite legendary.</p>
<p><strong>How would you recommend new investors to learn? Where would you start? </strong></p>
<p>Dan put a lot of thinking into this one. With all of the questions I asked, he always had something to say immediately, with great responses at that, but this question actually got him thinking.</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;I think the best way to is to start learning from other great investors. Read books on how to understand the fundamentals. Read the research done by other great investors (there are plenty available at kaChing) and understand what variables they pay attention to. Learn from the best by learning how THEY think.”</p></blockquote>
<p>Me – “I couldn’t agree more.”</p>
<p>He also offered to send me a PDF version of the book that’s worth $1,800 that I will share with my readers when I get a hold of it. Now that’s a sweet deal. What an awesome guy.</p>
<p><strong>Can you share some of your personal investing stories?</strong></p>
<blockquote><p>“I started with a little over $10,000 and managed to turn that into a sum enough to pay through college. I then lost a lot of money after. I also ended up making more money for my relatives than myself during this past year. [laughs] But honestly, without going through the experience of a loss, you truly don’t gain the valuable experience you need as an investor. I am talking about emotional challenges too”</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p>“You need to learn how to manage risk, and my experience taught me that.”</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p>“Let’s say there are two investors. Investor A managed 15% return every year for the first 9 years. Investor B managed a 12% return for the same period. In this case, investor A would get more attention claiming him to be the best. But what happens if on the 10<sup>th</sup> year, Investor A lost 20% when the market crashed while Investor B managed to return 3% that same year? Guess who comes out on top?”</p></blockquote>
<p><strong>What do you think of BBBY? You’re currently shorting the stock</strong>.</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;You know&#8230;I covered a small part of my position since the latest earnings report, because I expect a potential short squeeze to happen (BBBY reported positive news by the way), but my thesis remains completely in tact. Without new stores popping up everywhere for BBBY, and same store sales continuing their trend in the doldrums of almost -2% for the quarter, Bed Bath &amp; Beyond will have a hell of a time maintaining its growth going forward. I believe we are entering a new paradigm of lower consumer spending that is here to stay. The national savings rate is at its highest in 15 years, and the real estate market is still declining. The math just doesn&#8217;t work&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p>“Many of the retailers successfully cut costs this year by cutting head counts, but they can only do that so much. I think retailers like Bed Bath and Beyond and even Best Buy will struggle to keep up with the pressure of this downturn in consumer spending.”</p></blockquote>
<p><strong>So why did you start KaChing/FSX? How did you find your team?</strong></p>
<p>Dan had the vision that mutual funds had lost their best talent to hedge funds and offered no transparency. He also thought that there were thousands of talented investors like himself out there that were better than 90% of these mutual funds. They just needed a competitive arena to prove it. So he sought out to make kaChing the destination for the best investors in the world where retail investors could invest in their performance, and we are all better off because of it.</p>
<blockquote><p>“The old times of retail investors only having access to underperforming mutual funds with no transparency and archaic reporting practices is about to end. In this modern world, there is a cry for transparency and better talent, and we intend to lead that charge. ”</p></blockquote>
<p>With the help of a good developer and friend, he started FSX, a fantasy stock exchange, on Facebook. It quickly grew its member base (now close to 400,000 members) and he further pursued his vision to bring this to the “real world”. He reached out to Andy Rachleff, a renowned venture capitalist, who was totally aligned with the vision. The rest is history.</p>
<p><strong>How was the start-up process like? Was the journey of getting funded challenging?</strong></p>
<blockquote><p>“When you know someone like Andy who is very well connected to the venture capital industry, it is much easier to get in front of the right people.”</p></blockquote>
<p><strong>What do you think of having a “trial” account so that new investors can first learn how to trade without jeopardizing your reputation such as KaChing IQ?</strong></p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;The great thing about kaChing is that you can use your account to learn and try &#8211; if you improve over time, so will your Investing IQ.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p><strong> What financial blogs or websites do you read?</strong></p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;I read blogs like Market Ticker, The Mish, blog on China- Mpettis.com, Zero Hedge., etc…Do you know Zero Hedge?&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>Yes I absolutely do.</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;I don&#8217;t know who he is or how he does it, but that guy pumps out content like no other. He reports on stuff the newspapers and outlets like Bloomberg just don’t have access too. He is very well connected to the Street.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;Um, I also read The Fly from iBankCoin. That guy is f&#8217;in hilarious. Just read some of his posts. He&#8217;s funny as hell but a heckuva investor.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p><strong>What’s next for the market? Where do you think it’s headed?</strong></p>
<blockquote><p>“It’s hard to say. It could continue its way up, but I would say the risk is definitely higher on the downside. There are obviously both views right now, but I would say the two sides are not equal and it’s slightly leaning towards the downside.”</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;But I wouldn&#8217;t be surprised either if it goes further up.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>And before I even had a chance to laugh and say&#8230;.</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;And I know, that sounds like a politician.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p><strong>Well that&#8217;s all for this round guys. Dan, it was a pleasure. Hope you guys all enjoyed the interview. There will be more to come in the future, so stay tuned! </strong>
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		<title>Brendan Burke: A Sculptor, Painter, Scribbler. He Debunks The &#8220;Investor&#8221; Image</title>
		<link>http://www.behindthespread.com/brendan-burke/</link>
		<comments>http://www.behindthespread.com/brendan-burke/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 02 Aug 2009 07:15:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>BTS</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Day Trader]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Brendan Burke]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Swing Trader]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.behindthespread.com/?p=129</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Brendan Burke, also known as &#8220;oulous&#8221; on Covestor, has a primary background in painting, sculpting and scribbling.  An extremely unique background for an investor in my mind.  I found him on Covestor, noticing his track record and his number of followers.  He has earned a star, which means he consistently outperforms the market, now returning [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Brendan Burke, also known as &#8220;oulous&#8221; on <a target="_blank" href="http://www.covestor.com/mbr/oulous" title="Brendan Burke" >Covestor</a>, has a primary background in painting, sculpting and scribbling.  An extremely unique background for an investor in my mind.  I found him on Covestor, noticing his track record and his number of followers.  He has earned a star, which means he consistently outperforms the market, now returning 700% since inception back in August 2008. He has been trading for over 5 years as a day trader and is quite risky when it comes to his trading strategy.</p>
<p>I share his story today not because I think day trading risky stock is for everyone (in fact, I personally wouldn&#8217;t recommend it at all to the average investors given its risks) but because I believe there are various ways an individual can be successful at investing.  Whether you&#8217;re a fundamental expert, or a risk craving day trader, an economist from a renowned university or a video game champion,  everyone should be encouraged to learn the game of investing and find the best style that fits you the best.  I am a believer that everyone can succeed in this market with training, discipline, and passion.</p>
<p>I hope you enjoy his story. You&#8217;ll see his unique personality through his writing.  I bet you won&#8217;t see an interview like this anywhere else&#8230;because this is not the &#8220;norm&#8221; a typical investor would agree with.  I just believe in sharing interesting stories with the rest of you.  Enjoy.</p>
<p><strong>What is your primary background?</strong></p>
<p>My primary background is painting/sculpting/scribbling, which means I am free to interpret the world without pressure from hierarchy or medium.   The disadvantage is no structure, funding, or consumers.  I spend some of my time trying to invent a self inflicting pyramid scheme of product.   I try to start with small idiot devices of little use in order to bankroll more complex useful devices.   I have yet to fully file a patent or sell a product.  I also work on theoretical ideas that are somewhere between crank/imagination and perhaps usefulness but with little math skill or presence in an academic environment I am just making anonymous noise.</p>
<p><strong>How did you get into investing?</strong></p>
<p>I am a gluttonous and perhaps degenerate gambler.   I enjoy numbers, randomness, and risk.  I was interested in casino gambling a long time ago but I recognized there was nothing about it that could be profitable unless you found a manufacturing flaw and exploited it.   If you ever meet a gambler who says he has a system and makes money with it,  hes lying.   There is only one casino game you can play in the world and make money on the game itself and not the secondary systems around it, and that&#8217;s the stock market.  The markets &#8220;odds&#8221; are exponential to your skill unlike casino gambling with the possible exception of poker.</p>
<p>Two events led me to investing many years ago.  One is the death of my granny and the other are magical invisible boots I used to sell on ebay called J-boots.  The boots made your metame run fast within the medium of Everquest.  I noticed an emerging shadow market of the already shadowy economy within the game Everquest, and I thought I would take a crack at finding an area to exploit that I could dominate in. There were too many sellers already so I had to get very specific and sell one particular item.  I chose the J-boot because everyone had to have them, and the major sellers were not bothering to sell it due to its complicated delivery procedure.   So in a fairly short perdiod of time I had ammased a decent amount of money from death and magic virtual boots.   I then decided to take that money and push it into the markets.  I knew nothing about stock markets, and the year I made my first trade was 2001.  Both bad and good timing.  Lost more than I would have if I had started in a more prosperous time but learned a lot in the process.</p>
<div><strong>&#8220;How often do you trade? Daily? Weekly? Or less frequently?&#8221;</strong></div>
<div><strong><br />
</strong></div>
<div>It depends on the market behavior. For me the market has two modes of operation. Unsafe and slightly more unsafe.</div>
<p>When the market is plain old unsafe,  I will swing trade with hold times of a few days to a few weeks, to possibly but very infrequently, a few years.</p>
<p>If the market is even more unsafe I will day trade only with hold times of a few minutes to all day&#8230;. every once in a while I go overnight with something that has momentum.</p>
<div><strong>&#8220;What is your investment style? Short-term? Long-term? Particular sector? Fundamental vs Technical?&#8221;</strong></div>
<div><strong><br />
</strong></div>
<div>My trading style is illusion and momentum. Illusion is my basis for swing trading. Almost all value is an illusion, and I trade off people&#8217;s hopes as they relate to that illusion.</div>
<p>Momentum is for day trading, which is either behavioral in terms of pure price action or news driven.  In the end the two blend together into a messy giant sundae, and I just try and get a few bites before it becomes a sloppy disaster.</p>
<div>
<div><span><strong>&#8220;What are some of the main tools you use for trading the right stocks?&#8221;</strong><span> </span></span></div>
</div>
<div><span><br />
Any decent real time screener that will print stocks as they make new high of the day will do.  I prefer Trade Ideas Pro.  I use Think Or Swim, and it is far and away the best trading platform, but sadly they were bought out by TD Ameritrade so I hope AT doesn&#8217;t destroy what is otherwise a beautiful product.I have a lot of other methods that are minor but do their part:  message boards, a skype chat room that I am a part of, articles inany kind of magazine direct or abstract that might give a glimpse of future product or technology.<span><br />
</span></p>
<p></span></div>
<div><span><span></p>
<div><strong>&#8220;What is the best and the worst trades you&#8217;ve had?&#8221;</strong></div>
<div><strong><br />
</strong></div>
<div>Both of these trades happened in a period where I was purely reckless.  It is an era I plan on resurrecting with one of my accounts because I miss the high stakes and high bets.  I recently got a good chunk of money from selling a domain name so its free money that I am going to use for high risk trades.  I made 37k on a BIDU trade in about 7 minutes.  Relative to my portfolio size at the time it was a huge return. I used 4x margin.  It was an absolute thrill watching the cash part of the trade go up in real time.</div>
<p>The worst was MGAM, which I held years ago on a trade based around an article and the words of the CEO on a conference call.  It was also the most important trade I have ever made because its where I learned what a farce the stock market is.  I lost 17k in MGAM over a 3 week period.</p>
<p></span></span></div>
<div><span></p>
<div><strong>&#8220;What would be your advice to the investors out there?&#8221;</strong></div>
<div><strong><br />
</strong></div>
<p>1. First thing to learn is how to take a loss.  How do you react?  If you fall apart and its on your mind 100% of the time, then quit or change investing styles.  Once you learn to how to take a loss you are ready to try trading.</p>
<p>2. If you are 18 to 22 and considering becoming a financial professional you are making a huge mistake.  The world is divided up between creators and destroyers and those in the financial world are nothing but destroyers, myself included.  Luckily it is not my background nor does it consume 100% of my time.  The other half of my life is spent trying to create things.   I suggest you always keep something else in your back pocket if you choose to journey as a trader,  something that matters to human beings.</p>
<p>3. <span><span>There is little or no truth and little or no value.  If the stock market were functioning properly, then stock prices would not move very far and fast except in extreme cases and a public company would exist as an agreement between management and shareholders.  All companies would pay dividends as soon as they achieved profit as a way of paying back those that financed their company.  Sounds odd right?  Thats how it should work but it doesn&#8217;t, so remember that all values are an illusion, and its your job to be a magician and make trades that profit off the best illusions.</span></span></p>
<p>4.  Read Reminiscences of a Stock Operator.  Its a great story and will make you feel like trading is akin to swashbuckling and piracy.  It also lets you know who you are up against. Remember no one is on your side. Its you versus the world when you are trading for yourself.  Don&#8217;t bother with any other financial books;  just read novels, history, magazines, manga, cartoons, anything.  Maybe check out Naseem Taleb, but his &#8220;luck&#8221; of finding a black swan makes him era specific, so his current books won&#8217;t be as useful in a few years.   There is nothing worse than being a trader or a lawyer and going home only to talk about trading or the law. Fill your life with other things.</p>
<p></span></div>
<p>5. They always say don&#8217;t rely on luck, don&#8217;t hope, and use fact not intuition.  I thrive on Luck, Hope, and Intuition, in fact I am hoping my intuition can find me a lucky trade tomorrow.</p>
<p>Thanks Brendan for the interesting story.   There are absolutely great investors who look at fundamentals.  There are absolutely great investors who come with multitude of ceritications and degrees.  There are absolutely great investors who rely on technical analysis to swiftly make successful trades.  Then there are great sculpters who take on Wall Street with a complete different set of views.
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